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INDIA UPDATE: Energy and Infrastructure Engine chugs up the boom

ENERGY

Kirit Parikh report released today, recommends freer market pricing and a longer term solution for the Indian Oil Energy majors. The implementation and adoption by Pranab’s government of course is dependent on political and economic convenience.

The Oil Industry cannot support the burden of subsidies with the internal prices of Oil fluctuating in a wide band. Mr Parikh pegs losses at Rs 40000 Crs annually for the Oil companies. A Rs 6 increase in the price of Kerosene ( lower end derivative) is recommended. As losses on petrol are Rs 3 per liter, a price rise of Rs 4.70 per liter on Petrol and Rs. 2.30 per liter on Dieel are likely if free pricing is implemented ( State owned Oil companies)

ONGC and OVL to share the burden of subsidy with the government to the extent of early blocks granted by nomination and funded by the government

GAIL free from subsidy sharing formula because it has no production facilities

Rail Freight to catch on as the cost of diesel per Kilo Tonne per Kilometer is 20% of Road transport costs

KP recommends freeing of Petrol and Diesel Pricing at Retail

Also, Kerosene subsidy should be granted to families based on Smart Card and UID

AVIATION

Aviation major Jet negotiated a 11% stake in GMR MAS Hyd Airport Engg Company for fleet maintenance of Jet as per an MOU signed earlier in January

Jet Airways also improved Domestic yields by 24% in the final Quarter of 2009 and the industry is hoping for business and premium class demand revival in the coming two quarters. supply side controls and lower fuel prices also contributed to the increased yield

POWER / DIVESTMENT

NTPC issue pricing should flummox investors even as Power Grid and REC get in line. SAIL has got approval for a 10% Offer for sale and a 10% issue of new shares in the coming year and next. Steel Authority performance is no longer an industry benchmark, while NTPC’s lead in the Power sector is also likely in question as Power Distribution and Transmission become central to Policy.

MUTUAL FUND INDUSTRY

The Mutual Fund Industry’s innovative Liquid Plus schemes that now constitute 40% of the Rs 735000 Crore ( INR 7.35 trillion) Industry may soon be switched out as Government takes cognizance of the differential tax treatment ( Individuals 14%, Corp 22%) vs. Liquid Schemes 33%. Also RBI had earlier challenged banks on parking excess cash in these money market schemes with Mutual funds as more than Rs 1.35 trillion is parked in such schemes.

RETAIL LIFESTYLE

ITC Fortune has reported 2000 new rooms planned under the budget franchise in the next 2-3 years. 9 new hotels are coming online in 2010, 25 by 2014 which will be close to 6000 rooms

Maruti Suzuki led a great Indian Auto revival bringing sales of 175000 Cars in January domestically. Adding at least 50 K in Exports from Hyundai and Maruti alone, the figure, if repeated through the year could finally break the hold of 2- 3 wheelers in economic reporting, lol

INOX bought 200 additional screens into its fold with a 43% investment in Fame Cinemas, each screen costing them between 1.3 to 1.7 crores or $300K much below the market cost of $500K of setting up a new screen. It is increasingly looking unlikely that PVR will complete its purchase of DT Cinemas.

We have tweeted and carried in-depth analysis of each of these deals, subjects and factors in India’s new journey. Call us on ‘hyperchat’ if you need a breaking tweet.

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Lifestyle Infrastructure

One of our special themes at the Advantages weblogs has been our assertion that US, India, China and most of the rest of the world that is growing

is likely to do so on the basis of a consumption revolution. Below is out insight piece that opened the chapter on India's final coming out that was much awaited but wasn't really happening till 2009..

The Commonwealth Games Infrastructure Train

A few years ago, when the Indian women shot Gold in Commonwealth Hockey and our aim in general started consistently being medal grade, we won the bid for New Delhi to host the games in 2010. This business of infrastructure had been mystifying sportspersons for decades in India; none too easily supported by the overarching smell of rent and inadequate facilities for local sports persons historically.

Even today most sports would bow out in front of Cricket and that is not a full-fledged event at the CWG, though there is still a toss-up for the T20 version to be added. Like most other spheres of life, China has been doing it higher, faster and stronger, having already held the challenging Olympics in 2008 earning over $2b for Beijing, the host city.

The story is quite public and you must have all followed it at least since August 2009 when the first few fistcuffs were exchanged regarding the lack of preparations for the CWG event now just 6-7 months away. The Sports Minister and the Games Organising Committee Chair Suresh Kalmadi has variously ben painted and vilified while we look at the rejuvenated parts of Wembley in London and survive on facepaint and cheering the local IPL franchise in Cricket games. The painting of events apart we just thought it important for Sports and Tourist infrastructure worth $1.5 billion to be included in the India story at about this time.

This preamble would survive your taste buds and your snipping scissors in the mind and we�ll come back right after lunch is over for you..

And the Original piece..follow up article on our Lifestyle Economics stream

If you have been following the India story closely, India�fs new developments are focussed on Infrastructure and Retail along with giant leaps in the Entertainment business. You can look closely at the India stories athttp://advantages.us/inframils to get a flavor of what�fs happening in Indian Infrastructure

On the other hand Retail Lifestyle businesses are increasingly attracting investors�cRural Markets may grow at a faster pace at least on the Drawing board. �c Where is Investor access? Why is it still on the government to make it happen? The FDI limits and the others are fairly rational policies..but where are the investors?..

Nanos will roll into homes by July end and IPL teams are already applying for trademarks as it looks set to become the greatest sporting extravaganza in the world, already ranked at #2 behind the NFL season in the USA. The 3G challenge will tear at Telecom companies�f profits in the coming years�c

10-Year-Old Girl Scores Hole-In-One at US Kids Golf European Championship in Scotland
(The image is of a young indian golfer in Scotland)

BUT, Importantly, India caught on to serious lifestyle investments early in 2005, Today with the debut of Cox and Kings IPO..

Where it is now?

Towns like Jalandhar, Ludhiana in Punjab, Jaipur and Agra on the Golden Triangle and such state capitals, heritage and business towns like Ahmedabad, Surat and Nagpur present a unique opportunity for Indian hospitality business to scale up, esp as Indian railways, india�fs aviation footprint and the road infrastructure will follow in step with the boom. Note: The Indian Maharaja with TC, Maharajas Express with Cox & Kings, and the other two luxury trains have started first season bookings quite well and money is being spendt to add gym and pool to the Palace on wheels as well ( More here ) Golden Palace started from Bangalore is not doing so well apparently. The Maharajas Express for example is 84 persons at an average of $1000 per night for a 7 day- 8 night tour between Mumbai and Delhi

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