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Bank results week: Earnings notes (Draft Analysis)

We will dive deeper once result season delivers by 21st when Goldman Sachs and some others like PNC and Sun Trust report earnings. Bank of America reports Tomorrow..

C ‘s loss of $0.33 per share is merely the payback being factored into the balance sheet. The credit losses were only $800 million.

Foreclosures will barrel down, Funds will not be cheap, their international operations cannot be contained or governed by local US law. Also domestic Citi business will turn profitable by Q3 and International Biz volume will exceed expectations

As per Marketwatch.com reports, also

Citigroup announces that it will pay back $20 billion to government

“”Provisions and charge-offs were lower than we expected, suggesting that Citi’s ‘s outlook for its loan book has improved, particularly in corporate and international portfolios,” Standard & Poor’s analysts said in report to clients on Tuesday. “We think the pace of reserve building will continue to slow, allowing for an earnings improvement in 2010, the analysts concluded.”"

Draft: Check our http://stocks.advantages.us for results based commentary

strangely enough, i have stuck to NY times for the result extract body..but the only thing of note below is the GCB profits of $1.6 billion which are based on hiding Card and other unsecured loan losses of $10 billion

Obama Speaks In New York

Bank executives say a speedier recovery in Asia and parts of Latin America has helped consumer loan losses. But amid double-digit unemployment and a weak housing market, the North American mortgage and credit card businesses keep hemorrhaging money — albeit, at a slower pace.

“Whether these trends continue will depend on the U.S. economy,” said John Gerspach, Citigroup’s chief financial officer.

Mr. Gerspach warned that stiffer credit card regulations would present a considerable headwind and the fate of the administration’s mortgage modification could significantly impact results. That program, by allowing the bank to delay booking losses on borrowers that fall behind on their loans, reduced credit losses by about $200 million in the fourth quarter.

Citigroup’s global consumer banking business posted a $1.9 billion profit for 2009, though that significantly overstated the performance of its mortgage and credit card businesses. For reporting purposes, the bank does not include its big mortgage, consumer finance and private-label credit card businesses. Those businesses, under the category of “Local Consumer Lending,” lost about $10 billion in 2009.

Over all, Citigroup’s investment bank reported the best results, though it still lagged competitors. Profit in the unit rose to $2.4 billion, up 6 percent from 2008. Although trading revenue surged in the first half of the year, it started to fizzle in the third and fourth quarters as the markets recovered. Its results also swung wildly from quarter to quarter from the impact of an obscure accounting charge on bank-issued debt, known as credit valuation adjustment, based on the perception of Citigroup’s financial health.

Mr. Gerspach said the figures needed to be adjusted again at the end of the year — lowering earnings by $840 million. “We corrected a mechanical miscalculation,” he said on the conference call.

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Lifestyle Infrastructure

One of our special themes at the Advantages weblogs has been our assertion that US, India, China and most of the rest of the world that is growing

is likely to do so on the basis of a consumption revolution. Below is out insight piece that opened the chapter on India's final coming out that was much awaited but wasn't really happening till 2009..

The Commonwealth Games Infrastructure Train

A few years ago, when the Indian women shot Gold in Commonwealth Hockey and our aim in general started consistently being medal grade, we won the bid for New Delhi to host the games in 2010. This business of infrastructure had been mystifying sportspersons for decades in India; none too easily supported by the overarching smell of rent and inadequate facilities for local sports persons historically.

Even today most sports would bow out in front of Cricket and that is not a full-fledged event at the CWG, though there is still a toss-up for the T20 version to be added. Like most other spheres of life, China has been doing it higher, faster and stronger, having already held the challenging Olympics in 2008 earning over $2b for Beijing, the host city.

The story is quite public and you must have all followed it at least since August 2009 when the first few fistcuffs were exchanged regarding the lack of preparations for the CWG event now just 6-7 months away. The Sports Minister and the Games Organising Committee Chair Suresh Kalmadi has variously ben painted and vilified while we look at the rejuvenated parts of Wembley in London and survive on facepaint and cheering the local IPL franchise in Cricket games. The painting of events apart we just thought it important for Sports and Tourist infrastructure worth $1.5 billion to be included in the India story at about this time.

This preamble would survive your taste buds and your snipping scissors in the mind and we�ll come back right after lunch is over for you..

And the Original piece..follow up article on our Lifestyle Economics stream

If you have been following the India story closely, India�fs new developments are focussed on Infrastructure and Retail along with giant leaps in the Entertainment business. You can look closely at the India stories athttp://advantages.us/inframils to get a flavor of what�fs happening in Indian Infrastructure

On the other hand Retail Lifestyle businesses are increasingly attracting investors�cRural Markets may grow at a faster pace at least on the Drawing board. �c Where is Investor access? Why is it still on the government to make it happen? The FDI limits and the others are fairly rational policies..but where are the investors?..

Nanos will roll into homes by July end and IPL teams are already applying for trademarks as it looks set to become the greatest sporting extravaganza in the world, already ranked at #2 behind the NFL season in the USA. The 3G challenge will tear at Telecom companies�f profits in the coming years�c

10-Year-Old Girl Scores Hole-In-One at US Kids Golf European Championship in Scotland
(The image is of a young indian golfer in Scotland)

BUT, Importantly, India caught on to serious lifestyle investments early in 2005, Today with the debut of Cox and Kings IPO..

Where it is now?

Towns like Jalandhar, Ludhiana in Punjab, Jaipur and Agra on the Golden Triangle and such state capitals, heritage and business towns like Ahmedabad, Surat and Nagpur present a unique opportunity for Indian hospitality business to scale up, esp as Indian railways, india�fs aviation footprint and the road infrastructure will follow in step with the boom. Note: The Indian Maharaja with TC, Maharajas Express with Cox & Kings, and the other two luxury trains have started first season bookings quite well and money is being spendt to add gym and pool to the Palace on wheels as well ( More here ) Golden Palace started from Bangalore is not doing so well apparently. The Maharajas Express for example is 84 persons at an average of $1000 per night for a 7 day- 8 night tour between Mumbai and Delhi

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