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The war in China

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The Chocolate Nut fudge for Labor day

The US Coffee Chocolate Giant Kraft bid for the global leader Cadbury’s over the weekend with a $16.7 billion bid over the Labor Day weekend

Bournville, where Cadbury’s originated and Cadbury’s rejected the bid which sent traders hankering for chocolate and made the stock rise 40% in anticipation. This is the first Billion dollar deal tabled in 2009 with Toblerone maker Kraft bidding for Cadbury’s across the pond. Hershey’s and Nestle can’t be white knights because of Anti trust regulations while others seem small fry. Kraft offers only 300p ($4 and 80c) in cash and 0.26 shares of Kraft per Cadbury share, leaving the UK based giant short changed.

It also recommends that the integration of distribution etc will save the combined company a further $1 billion. However, i would seem intelligent on Cadbury’s behalf to ignore the deal and walk away if they can as synergies from the deal look unwieldy, and such easy peasy pipe dreams’ to get market share in Europe and Asia overnight have not fructified earlier, niether has someone like Deutsche Bank been able to make a dent in the US

Factors like Outsourcing and Geographical sensitivities anathema to Cultural and Social integration at large need a new integrative mechanism that may make such Global M&A still infeasible. In this case one however simply feels that Cadbury’s seems to have the more successful Corporate culture and organization and if there can be other private investors to back Cadbury’s and Nestle in the domain, the likes of Kraft and Hershey’s will be faster to learn subsidiary to these far superior expressions of Organization.

Analysts of course, are also hoping for a possible joint bid by Nestlé and Hershey, allowing Nestlé to take Cadbury’s gum business to compete with Mars with Hershey taking over the chocolate operation. (NYTimes.com) Even that wouldn’t be the best as we have seen in the aftermath of the BCS, RBS, ABN saga, but AOL has split its business lines recently and that may be fair. Also, Nestle at least would well leave acquiree ops alone to be without posting unnecessary hurdles in terms of rush hour integration

Will anything save this disaster for Cadbury? Can KKR Europe please step forward?

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Lifestyle Infrastructure

One of our special themes at the Advantages weblogs has been our assertion that US, India, China and most of the rest of the world that is growing

is likely to do so on the basis of a consumption revolution. Below is out insight piece that opened the chapter on India's final coming out that was much awaited but wasn't really happening till 2009..

The Commonwealth Games Infrastructure Train

A few years ago, when the Indian women shot Gold in Commonwealth Hockey and our aim in general started consistently being medal grade, we won the bid for New Delhi to host the games in 2010. This business of infrastructure had been mystifying sportspersons for decades in India; none too easily supported by the overarching smell of rent and inadequate facilities for local sports persons historically.

Even today most sports would bow out in front of Cricket and that is not a full-fledged event at the CWG, though there is still a toss-up for the T20 version to be added. Like most other spheres of life, China has been doing it higher, faster and stronger, having already held the challenging Olympics in 2008 earning over $2b for Beijing, the host city.

The story is quite public and you must have all followed it at least since August 2009 when the first few fistcuffs were exchanged regarding the lack of preparations for the CWG event now just 6-7 months away. The Sports Minister and the Games Organising Committee Chair Suresh Kalmadi has variously ben painted and vilified while we look at the rejuvenated parts of Wembley in London and survive on facepaint and cheering the local IPL franchise in Cricket games. The painting of events apart we just thought it important for Sports and Tourist infrastructure worth $1.5 billion to be included in the India story at about this time.

This preamble would survive your taste buds and your snipping scissors in the mind and we�ll come back right after lunch is over for you..

And the Original piece..follow up article on our Lifestyle Economics stream

If you have been following the India story closely, India�fs new developments are focussed on Infrastructure and Retail along with giant leaps in the Entertainment business. You can look closely at the India stories athttp://advantages.us/inframils to get a flavor of what�fs happening in Indian Infrastructure

On the other hand Retail Lifestyle businesses are increasingly attracting investors�cRural Markets may grow at a faster pace at least on the Drawing board. �c Where is Investor access? Why is it still on the government to make it happen? The FDI limits and the others are fairly rational policies..but where are the investors?..

Nanos will roll into homes by July end and IPL teams are already applying for trademarks as it looks set to become the greatest sporting extravaganza in the world, already ranked at #2 behind the NFL season in the USA. The 3G challenge will tear at Telecom companies�f profits in the coming years�c

10-Year-Old Girl Scores Hole-In-One at US Kids Golf European Championship in Scotland
(The image is of a young indian golfer in Scotland)

BUT, Importantly, India caught on to serious lifestyle investments early in 2005, Today with the debut of Cox and Kings IPO..

Where it is now?

Towns like Jalandhar, Ludhiana in Punjab, Jaipur and Agra on the Golden Triangle and such state capitals, heritage and business towns like Ahmedabad, Surat and Nagpur present a unique opportunity for Indian hospitality business to scale up, esp as Indian railways, india�fs aviation footprint and the road infrastructure will follow in step with the boom. Note: The Indian Maharaja with TC, Maharajas Express with Cox & Kings, and the other two luxury trains have started first season bookings quite well and money is being spendt to add gym and pool to the Palace on wheels as well ( More here ) Golden Palace started from Bangalore is not doing so well apparently. The Maharajas Express for example is 84 persons at an average of $1000 per night for a 7 day- 8 night tour between Mumbai and Delhi

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