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The war in China

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Russian Banks get into the act

Russians step in a big way to track out of the current depression probably emboldened by their presence on social media like facebook and social gaming. In a bid to follow on to traces of Russin gumption as commodities continue to have a not so nice time in the global markets especially russian assets and Greece and Portugal ready to implode

Prokhorov’s MFK bank said on Tuesday it would get three new shareholders.

The combined wealth of the four tycoons was estimated at around $19bn (£12bn) by the Russian edition of Forbes magazine, and some of this money is in cash.

“Active work on solving Russian firms’ debts and offering help to the state to restructure the national banking system have a special place in our new strategy,” MFK’s chief executive Alexander Popov said.

Prokhorov, also a stakeholder in the world’s largest aluminium firm RUSAL, is worth $9.5bn, down from $22.6bn in 2008.

While many of his Russian peers have sought state bailouts, Prokhorov is flush with money after cashing out of assets in 2008 before the global crisis caused commodity prices to crash.

Kerimov was one of the top investors in state banking and energy majors such as Sberbank or Gazprom, but later reduced his stakes to buy into Western banking majors just before the crisis wiped out most of their value.

Kerimov, ranked Russia’s 13th richest man with $3.1bn, has also never asked for a direct state bailout like his peer Vekselberg, whose empire also includes large stakes in Swiss technology group Oerlikon and Swiss engineering group Sulzer. Vekselberg is worth $1.8bn.

The only tycoon out of the four who has received direct state funding during the crisis is Abramov, whose Evraz has already repaid part of a $1.8bn loan to the state. Forbes rated Abramov sixth in May with $4.4bn.

Sources close to the bank told Reuters the tycoons plan to turn MFK into a top Russian private banking player.

via Reuters

Prokhorov is already restructuring debt for Rusal helping Oleg Deripaska’s 3% stake ib British CV maker LDV. Though an overnight market for private equity is unlikely,  their ambition does show a likely intent to step into new fields with a bang and at least some of it could implore the SWFs like Kazakhstan and other state millionaires to come into global deals.

Unfortunately, global ambitions of Religare, M&M and Reliance seem as ill-placed as that of Tata and Suzlon in 2007. It needs much more international policy support and subsidy to take on foreign units with their workforce follies and high cost structures leaving it to global muscle like Mittal ( of Arcelor Mittal) and GM to try taking sick units out of bankruptcies. Even a Volksagen looks competent to manage its ne investments as others like Prokhoov, Keshub Mahindra and Tulsi Tantis get increasingly frustrated and eager to do the rong deals beacue they fit on thei plate by some old definition. A Mahinaldra Satyam did not even try to act transformational in its bid for cash from Satyam and the same evaluations are required for the LDVs and the Lyondell Basells which would be a litmus test for any new Mikhail Prokhorov to come to the table and go out a Arcelor Mittal.

Indian entrepreneurs must also be feeling eager to get into business ith their Russian and middle east counterparts to steward the scuttled global midships and put the world back on an even keel, but a dry docks specialist ith a salvage yard may be a minimum requirement even for Prokhorov, Mahindra and the Ambanis. China would be a formidable competitor and maybe it is affecting deal making capability of other JP Morgan customers :)

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Lifestyle Infrastructure

One of our special themes at the Advantages weblogs has been our assertion that US, India, China and most of the rest of the world that is growing

is likely to do so on the basis of a consumption revolution. Below is out insight piece that opened the chapter on India's final coming out that was much awaited but wasn't really happening till 2009..

The Commonwealth Games Infrastructure Train

A few years ago, when the Indian women shot Gold in Commonwealth Hockey and our aim in general started consistently being medal grade, we won the bid for New Delhi to host the games in 2010. This business of infrastructure had been mystifying sportspersons for decades in India; none too easily supported by the overarching smell of rent and inadequate facilities for local sports persons historically.

Even today most sports would bow out in front of Cricket and that is not a full-fledged event at the CWG, though there is still a toss-up for the T20 version to be added. Like most other spheres of life, China has been doing it higher, faster and stronger, having already held the challenging Olympics in 2008 earning over $2b for Beijing, the host city.

The story is quite public and you must have all followed it at least since August 2009 when the first few fistcuffs were exchanged regarding the lack of preparations for the CWG event now just 6-7 months away. The Sports Minister and the Games Organising Committee Chair Suresh Kalmadi has variously ben painted and vilified while we look at the rejuvenated parts of Wembley in London and survive on facepaint and cheering the local IPL franchise in Cricket games. The painting of events apart we just thought it important for Sports and Tourist infrastructure worth $1.5 billion to be included in the India story at about this time.

This preamble would survive your taste buds and your snipping scissors in the mind and we�ll come back right after lunch is over for you..

And the Original piece..follow up article on our Lifestyle Economics stream

If you have been following the India story closely, India�fs new developments are focussed on Infrastructure and Retail along with giant leaps in the Entertainment business. You can look closely at the India stories athttp://advantages.us/inframils to get a flavor of what�fs happening in Indian Infrastructure

On the other hand Retail Lifestyle businesses are increasingly attracting investors�cRural Markets may grow at a faster pace at least on the Drawing board. �c Where is Investor access? Why is it still on the government to make it happen? The FDI limits and the others are fairly rational policies..but where are the investors?..

Nanos will roll into homes by July end and IPL teams are already applying for trademarks as it looks set to become the greatest sporting extravaganza in the world, already ranked at #2 behind the NFL season in the USA. The 3G challenge will tear at Telecom companies�f profits in the coming years�c

10-Year-Old Girl Scores Hole-In-One at US Kids Golf European Championship in Scotland
(The image is of a young indian golfer in Scotland)

BUT, Importantly, India caught on to serious lifestyle investments early in 2005, Today with the debut of Cox and Kings IPO..

Where it is now?

Towns like Jalandhar, Ludhiana in Punjab, Jaipur and Agra on the Golden Triangle and such state capitals, heritage and business towns like Ahmedabad, Surat and Nagpur present a unique opportunity for Indian hospitality business to scale up, esp as Indian railways, india�fs aviation footprint and the road infrastructure will follow in step with the boom. Note: The Indian Maharaja with TC, Maharajas Express with Cox & Kings, and the other two luxury trains have started first season bookings quite well and money is being spendt to add gym and pool to the Palace on wheels as well ( More here ) Golden Palace started from Bangalore is not doing so well apparently. The Maharajas Express for example is 84 persons at an average of $1000 per night for a 7 day- 8 night tour between Mumbai and Delhi

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