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The war in China

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Citi sells Government stake of 34%

Citi has started earnest conversations with the Treasury to help the Treasury encash its paper profit of $9.77 billion and get out of governance of the bank. Right now, the Treasury is probably making more than Warren Buffet is making on his Goldman Sachs stake because of looses in GE and AIG, but the key issue to be underlined is that Vikram Pandit would be able to claim – both for himself and for the Government – a successful close out of the bailout program.

The 34% stake is thus priced at $35 billion and leaves the Treasury with another $27 billion in trust preferred shares and its prominence in Financial Services governance will remain more because of its taxpayers funds continuing at risk, than because of successful reform it will be able to pursue whether it is CARD, Consumer Financial Protection Agency or Federal Bank of New York’s incessant struggle to contain the AIG time bomb..the least of its troubles being the hostility it faces from the sector as it tries to control private sector pay principles ( Pandit does draw 22 times more than the President) The planned sale will constitute 7.69 billion shares. One option would be to sell most of it to a PE fund as recently allowed by the Federal Reserve.

According to Bloomberg, the stake is likely to be sold off at the same average rate of $3.25 effective for the conversion and over an extended period of 6-8 months.. I would think a managed offering is much more than likely if principles of fairness and equity are observed, but it may be too public an option and Obama’s ratings are for the West wing to consider and factor into the Treasury’s final program.

‘Prominent Role’

The Obama administration has begun efforts to wind down the government’s $700 billion financial rescue program, while pledging to manage the withdrawal carefully. In a report yesterday, the Treasury said it was “committed to ensuring the stability of financial markets” and that “the process of exit will be prudent, not hasty.”

Surprise, Surprise (updtd Sept 22,09)

Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund has pocketed a $1.6bn profit after selling half of the 9 per cent stake in Citigroup it acquired during this year’s US-government led refinancing of the troubled bank.  In an unexpected announcement on Tuesday, the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation said that the sale followed the conversion, on September 11, of its $6.8bn of convertible preferred stock for Citigroup common stock at $3.25 a share.

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Lifestyle Infrastructure

One of our special themes at the Advantages weblogs has been our assertion that US, India, China and most of the rest of the world that is growing

is likely to do so on the basis of a consumption revolution. Below is out insight piece that opened the chapter on India's final coming out that was much awaited but wasn't really happening till 2009..

The Commonwealth Games Infrastructure Train

A few years ago, when the Indian women shot Gold in Commonwealth Hockey and our aim in general started consistently being medal grade, we won the bid for New Delhi to host the games in 2010. This business of infrastructure had been mystifying sportspersons for decades in India; none too easily supported by the overarching smell of rent and inadequate facilities for local sports persons historically.

Even today most sports would bow out in front of Cricket and that is not a full-fledged event at the CWG, though there is still a toss-up for the T20 version to be added. Like most other spheres of life, China has been doing it higher, faster and stronger, having already held the challenging Olympics in 2008 earning over $2b for Beijing, the host city.

The story is quite public and you must have all followed it at least since August 2009 when the first few fistcuffs were exchanged regarding the lack of preparations for the CWG event now just 6-7 months away. The Sports Minister and the Games Organising Committee Chair Suresh Kalmadi has variously ben painted and vilified while we look at the rejuvenated parts of Wembley in London and survive on facepaint and cheering the local IPL franchise in Cricket games. The painting of events apart we just thought it important for Sports and Tourist infrastructure worth $1.5 billion to be included in the India story at about this time.

This preamble would survive your taste buds and your snipping scissors in the mind and we�ll come back right after lunch is over for you..

And the Original piece..follow up article on our Lifestyle Economics stream

If you have been following the India story closely, India�fs new developments are focussed on Infrastructure and Retail along with giant leaps in the Entertainment business. You can look closely at the India stories athttp://advantages.us/inframils to get a flavor of what�fs happening in Indian Infrastructure

On the other hand Retail Lifestyle businesses are increasingly attracting investors�cRural Markets may grow at a faster pace at least on the Drawing board. �c Where is Investor access? Why is it still on the government to make it happen? The FDI limits and the others are fairly rational policies..but where are the investors?..

Nanos will roll into homes by July end and IPL teams are already applying for trademarks as it looks set to become the greatest sporting extravaganza in the world, already ranked at #2 behind the NFL season in the USA. The 3G challenge will tear at Telecom companies�f profits in the coming years�c

10-Year-Old Girl Scores Hole-In-One at US Kids Golf European Championship in Scotland
(The image is of a young indian golfer in Scotland)

BUT, Importantly, India caught on to serious lifestyle investments early in 2005, Today with the debut of Cox and Kings IPO..

Where it is now?

Towns like Jalandhar, Ludhiana in Punjab, Jaipur and Agra on the Golden Triangle and such state capitals, heritage and business towns like Ahmedabad, Surat and Nagpur present a unique opportunity for Indian hospitality business to scale up, esp as Indian railways, india�fs aviation footprint and the road infrastructure will follow in step with the boom. Note: The Indian Maharaja with TC, Maharajas Express with Cox & Kings, and the other two luxury trains have started first season bookings quite well and money is being spendt to add gym and pool to the Palace on wheels as well ( More here ) Golden Palace started from Bangalore is not doing so well apparently. The Maharajas Express for example is 84 persons at an average of $1000 per night for a 7 day- 8 night tour between Mumbai and Delhi

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