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Did you figure out India’s retail credit footprint? | Advantage ‘zyaada’

May 10th, 2010 | No Comments | Written by zyakaira
Amazingly, as RBI released monthly credit outstanding figures in the Indian Banking system (and we do not have any cross reporting from Banks or other quasi Federal institutions in this country) our safety was unwittingly highlighted again. The retail credit card debt outstanding is a mere Rs 200 bn or ...


What a weekend soiree in Europe | Advantage ‘zyaada’

May 10th, 2010 | No Comments | Written by zyakaira
The Euro zone banks would anyway be involved in all ECB attempts in mopping up treasury bonds issuance from the myriad nationalbanks in the next phase and also Greek bonds were already being accepted as level collateral. These would be put as a  result of hectic weekend parleys in history.  The ...



Bank results season: AIG getting out of the foxhole

May 7th, 2010 | No Comments | Written by zyakaira
American International Group Inc. (AIG - Analyst Report) reported first-quarter earnings of $809 million or $1.21 per share, significantly ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 48 cents. The company incurred a loss of $2.1 billion or $22.90 per share in the year-ago period. On a GAAP basis, the company reported ...


FDI in India and Private Equity guidelines | Advantage ‘zyaada’

May 7th, 2010 | No Comments | Written by zyakaira
As we write, FIPB is scheduled to meet and review proposals from UTV and another TV channel among others for FDI approval. The UTV porposal is for uplinking and broadcasting a news channel and UTV is already a listed company. Apart from such non controversial proposals like that of publicly ...



The Europe disaster pill | Advantage ‘zyaada’

May 7th, 2010 | No Comments | Written by zyakaira
On Disclaimers and other notes..Advantage 'zyaada' will never claim to replace your newspaper, we are a research and analysis person..but we will give you a complete point of view and all relevant facts of a situation and recommend reading more alpha bleets and journals from there Much more is on the ...


The India NTPC and ONGC advantage | Advantage zyaada

May 7th, 2010 | No Comments | Written by zyakaira
Did RIL really win? Here you are, judgment day came and went by, crowd intelligence treating the split verdict as a victory for KG-D6 and later next year, D9 promoter Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries. If you have been sitting in front of business television, you would have the fresh feeling of ...



Signature research from JPM | Financial Regulation

May 5th, 2010 | No Comments | Written by zyakaira
Seems the 'boys' at HuffPo got it yesterday and we finally got to see some hot 2011 JP Morgan research...great stuff..and we agree the senate and the house committee did a shoddy job but we may not agree with more after the first house bil set us off in an ...


Praying for a Lib-Dem London? | Advantage zyaada

May 5th, 2010 | No Comments | Written by zyakaira
With UK elections up at the next corner, a lot of the world currency markets are riding the tube to figure out where to go and sadly the event is almost slipping thru unnoticed because of the great grecian tragedies being played out in Greece, China, California and even Chicago. ...



You’ve heard of urban legends? Here its ICICI Bank..| Advantage zyaada

May 5th, 2010 | 1 Comment | Written by zyakaira
Jason's on the prowl and it's Friday the 13th Well ICICI Bank is back with a whimper if not a bang, befriending the 120k readers of mint (livemint.com) at the expense of the other half a million odd ET readers that do not give in to new fangled devices like HT ...


Taking a break

May 4th, 2010 | No Comments | Written by zyakaira
Incessant rains have turned things to a head in Bangalore. All satellite and internet signals are likely affected. I am holding to any new writing enjoying the weather. Media and Entertianment FDI reforms are up next as the eGOM takes up the sector for analysis. FIPB meets in India on ...




Lifestyle Infrastructure

One of our special themes at the Advantages weblogs has been our assertion that US, India, China and most of the rest of the world that is growing

is likely to do so on the basis of a consumption revolution. Below is out insight piece that opened the chapter on India's final coming out that was much awaited but wasn't really happening till 2009..

The Commonwealth Games Infrastructure Train

A few years ago, when the Indian women shot Gold in Commonwealth Hockey and our aim in general started consistently being medal grade, we won the bid for New Delhi to host the games in 2010. This business of infrastructure had been mystifying sportspersons for decades in India; none too easily supported by the overarching smell of rent and inadequate facilities for local sports persons historically.

Even today most sports would bow out in front of Cricket and that is not a full-fledged event at the CWG, though there is still a toss-up for the T20 version to be added. Like most other spheres of life, China has been doing it higher, faster and stronger, having already held the challenging Olympics in 2008 earning over $2b for Beijing, the host city.

The story is quite public and you must have all followed it at least since August 2009 when the first few fistcuffs were exchanged regarding the lack of preparations for the CWG event now just 6-7 months away. The Sports Minister and the Games Organising Committee Chair Suresh Kalmadi has variously ben painted and vilified while we look at the rejuvenated parts of Wembley in London and survive on facepaint and cheering the local IPL franchise in Cricket games. The painting of events apart we just thought it important for Sports and Tourist infrastructure worth $1.5 billion to be included in the India story at about this time.

This preamble would survive your taste buds and your snipping scissors in the mind and we�ll come back right after lunch is over for you..

And the Original piece..follow up article on our Lifestyle Economics stream

If you have been following the India story closely, India�fs new developments are focussed on Infrastructure and Retail along with giant leaps in the Entertainment business. You can look closely at the India stories athttp://advantages.us/inframils to get a flavor of what�fs happening in Indian Infrastructure

On the other hand Retail Lifestyle businesses are increasingly attracting investors�cRural Markets may grow at a faster pace at least on the Drawing board. �c Where is Investor access? Why is it still on the government to make it happen? The FDI limits and the others are fairly rational policies..but where are the investors?..

Nanos will roll into homes by July end and IPL teams are already applying for trademarks as it looks set to become the greatest sporting extravaganza in the world, already ranked at #2 behind the NFL season in the USA. The 3G challenge will tear at Telecom companies�f profits in the coming years�c

10-Year-Old Girl Scores Hole-In-One at US Kids Golf European Championship in Scotland
(The image is of a young indian golfer in Scotland)

BUT, Importantly, India caught on to serious lifestyle investments early in 2005, Today with the debut of Cox and Kings IPO..

Where it is now?

Towns like Jalandhar, Ludhiana in Punjab, Jaipur and Agra on the Golden Triangle and such state capitals, heritage and business towns like Ahmedabad, Surat and Nagpur present a unique opportunity for Indian hospitality business to scale up, esp as Indian railways, india�fs aviation footprint and the road infrastructure will follow in step with the boom. Note: The Indian Maharaja with TC, Maharajas Express with Cox & Kings, and the other two luxury trains have started first season bookings quite well and money is being spendt to add gym and pool to the Palace on wheels as well ( More here ) Golden Palace started from Bangalore is not doing so well apparently. The Maharajas Express for example is 84 persons at an average of $1000 per night for a 7 day- 8 night tour between Mumbai and Delhi

IMAGE: Priyanka at a Femina Miss India Contest (2009)

Cox & Kings is raising an unprecedented 600 crores from the market in a current IPO at absurd valuations despite 10 months receivables as the listed TC is doing so well, other follow up articles on Marriott, Fortune also at http://india.advantages.us

Mid range hotels from Taj, ITC and Marriott(courtyard)

The 26/11 hit Taj Hotels have two brands competing with ITC�fs Fortune and others in the mid-market segments like the Quality Inn. However Only Fortune and Taj�fs Gateway have plans to be in the Tier II towns dotting the country�fs landscape like the pilgrim towns and those with significant merchant trade. The Taj Gateway for example wants to add 30 new hotels by 2015 in locations like Jalandhar, Mysore, Raipur and Gondia ( Mint – November 18 )


The answer is nto that simple however. The available accommodation would definitely make a profitable niche but wll not reduce the shortage of boarding and lodging nor will it address viability concerns of the Taj and ITC Hotels, not to mention home grown players like East India Hotels and the Club Mahindras.

Indian consumer spending in B towns is definitely slated to pick up and double in every 2-3 years for some time to come, but this country hs been in the midst of such boom and not seen enough clientele in this industry yet. Business Travellers and the 5% of GDP that is accumulated by Tourism remain formidable targets to maintain each year even during the good time, Costs of Real Estate, F&B related inflation, wage inflation and the seasonality of tourist arrangements coupled with India�fs non voice in international leisure and lifestyle forums , lack of negotiated tarriffs in travel and hospitality all count towards a tremendous dearth of new traffic for any such tourism business. A lot remains to be done and while more and more deluxe 5 star facilities are slowly becoming available because of rush hour and the consequent unavailability that plagues travellers scheduling a trip, too many ventures like the recent Indian Maharaja ( TC/Cox & Kings IPO now open) trains and the 15 year old plans of Gateway and ITC fortune have been non starters. �cread the whole nine yards here http://twitterone.mobi/2009/11/18/itcs-fortune-has-great-competition/

Well The Maharajas are coping well with 80% + bookings in the first season and the Cox&Kings IPO has got the story, opening up 16% tonight..

Marriott has opened with Phoenix in Mumbai and a Courtyard in agra , going to 10 properties soon..

Phoenix signed with Marriott for a 300000 SFT 250 room hotel for 350 Crores in its 25 acre (11lakhsft) property in Kurla named the Phoenix Market City Meanwhile Room tarriffs are again robust though not near their peak in 2007..The holiday season is also likely to bring good tidings. From all indications, India�fs tourism story has clocked the same foot fall as 2007 after a sad 2-3 months in late 2008 and that itself is great news. I know a couple of partners in Bangalore that can make it worthwhile for the Marriott to come here as well.

Good Business accommodation was also planned earlier but only muted response has been got from Choice Hotels ( Quality Inn) and Ramada ( one each in Chennai) 20 Holiday Inns, Hyatt and Lalit Suri Group among others are bringing in investments of $1 billion each..


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